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Monthly OPEX Trading Guide: The Six Forces Behind Options Expiration

Monthly OPEX Trading Guide: The Six Forces Behind Options Expiration

Evergreen Guide Monthly OPEX produces $12B+ in mechanical flow, removes ~35% of options exposure, and follows the same six-force sequence twelve times a year. This guide breaks down each force, the three-phase trading framework for expiration day, and the mistakes that cost traders the most. Every third Friday, roughly $12 billion in mechanical selling and […]

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S&P 500 (ES) Futures: The Gamma Cliff Beneath Record Highs

S&P 500 (ES) Futures: The Gamma Cliff Beneath Record Highs

SPX 7,041 New All-Time High $15B+ Record Options Delta 99.3% 14-Day Stochastic Between 10:55 and 11:10 AM on Wednesday, roughly $4 billion in positive cumulative options delta printed across the S&P 500 in barely fifteen minutes. That burst came on top of the prior session’s approximately $15 billion reading, already the largest single-day figure ever […]

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How Market Makers Hedge: The Invisible Force Behind ES Futures Levels

How Market Makers Hedge: The Invisible Force Behind ES Futures Levels

Net Hedging Flow +$15B Single session Strike Breached 7,000 15,000 0DTE calls Point Squeeze +26 pts Near-vertical line Duration 2 hrs No catalyst At 1:03 PM on Wednesday, ES futures punched through the 7,000 strike where 15,000 zero-day-to-expiry call contracts were sitting. Over the next two hours, price squeezed from 7,000 to 7,026 in a […]

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ES ATH Squeeze Into OPEX: The Anatomy of a $15B Mechanical Rally

ES ATH Squeeze Into OPEX: The Anatomy of a $15B Mechanical Rally

Article Brief · OPEX Eve SPX closed at a new all-time high of 7,026.04 on Wednesday after a $15 billion options positioning squeeze through the 7,000 strike. The rally was mechanical, driven by 0DTE gamma forcing short call covering, not conviction buying. With OPEX Friday and overbought oscillators at the extremes (RSI 70.27, Stochastic 99.71%), […]

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Daily Analysis

S&P 500 (ES) Futures: The Gamma Cliff Beneath Record Highs

S&P 500 (ES) Futures: The Gamma Cliff Beneath Record Highs

SPX 7,041 New All-Time High $15B+ Record Options Delta 99.3% 14-Day Stochastic Between 10:55 and 11:10 AM on Wednesday, roughly $4 billion in positive cumulative options delta printed across the S&P 500 in barely fifteen minutes. That burst came on top of the prior session’s approximately $15 billion reading, already the largest single-day figure ever […]

Read More
FOMC Day: What Institutional Delta Shift and VIX Expiry Signal for ES Futures

FOMC Day: What Institutional Delta Shift and VIX Expiry Signal for ES Futures

AlgoIndex Research | March 18, 2026 FOMC Day: What $2.2 Billion in Institutional Delta Shift and VIX Expiration Tell You About the Two-Phase Setup in ES Futures The Setup in 30 Seconds ES closed March 17 at 6,773 after a +0.68% session. But institutional hedging flow collapsed from -$81M to -$2.2B in cumulative delta during […]

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Monthly OPEX Trading Guide: The Six Forces Behind Options Expiration

Monthly OPEX Trading Guide: The Six Forces Behind Options Expiration

Evergreen Guide Monthly OPEX produces $12B+ in mechanical flow, removes ~35% of options exposure, and follows the same six-force sequence twelve times a year. This guide breaks down each force, the three-phase trading framework for expiration day, and the mistakes that cost traders the most. Every third Friday, roughly $12 billion in mechanical selling and […]

Read More
How Market Makers Hedge: The Invisible Force Behind ES Futures Levels

How Market Makers Hedge: The Invisible Force Behind ES Futures Levels

Net Hedging Flow +$15B Single session Strike Breached 7,000 15,000 0DTE calls Point Squeeze +26 pts Near-vertical line Duration 2 hrs No catalyst At 1:03 PM on Wednesday, ES futures punched through the 7,000 strike where 15,000 zero-day-to-expiry call contracts were sitting. Over the next two hours, price squeezed from 7,000 to 7,026 in a […]

Read More
ES ATH Squeeze Into OPEX: The Anatomy of a $15B Mechanical Rally

ES ATH Squeeze Into OPEX: The Anatomy of a $15B Mechanical Rally

Article Brief · OPEX Eve SPX closed at a new all-time high of 7,026.04 on Wednesday after a $15 billion options positioning squeeze through the 7,000 strike. The rally was mechanical, driven by 0DTE gamma forcing short call covering, not conviction buying. With OPEX Friday and overbought oscillators at the extremes (RSI 70.27, Stochastic 99.71%), […]

Read More