ES -- NQ -- GC -- CL -- VIX -- ● TONIGHT'S MARKET REVIEW PUBLISHES 8:30 PM ETES -- NQ -- GC -- CL -- VIX -- ● TONIGHT'S MARKET REVIEW PUBLISHES 8:30 PM ET
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AlgoIndex platform design and expectation management

Aligning your expectations with the platform

The key to successfully using the AlgoIndex manual and automated algorithmic trading system is to understand the nuances of its tools and strategy designs, including time horizon optimization - then align your expectations accordingly.

Time horizon overview

3 MONTHS

Three month strategy review. Understand your setup, costs and early experience.

6 MONTHS

Six month pattern review. Examine gains, losses and the periods between them.

12 MONTHS

Twelve month full experience review. Look at the results after the costs and risks taken during the year.

ES/SPY · Cumulative modeled result+61.5R at last recorded close
0R23R47R70R
Jan 6, 2023Full available recordOct 15, 2026

Longest recorded period below an earlier high: 239 days, Nov 2, 2023 to Jun 28, 2024. This measures recorded daily closes. It does not include every intraday move or set a limit on future losses.

How to read these results

The backtest applies the strategy's rules to historical prices. Its R scores are modeled outcomes, not actual option fills or an account return. Trading costs, subscription fees and your execution can change your result.

We group results between -0.5R and +0.5R as near-flat. The performance page’s “positive” count uses above zero, so those counts can differ while using the same record. Week marks begin on days 1, 8, 15, 22 and 29 of each month; short or partial slots use only available dates.

The three review lengths use 91, 182 and 365 calendar days, including the selected start day. A period is unavailable when its last day is beyond the record. The lowest point uses available daily closes over up to the first year, measured from the value just before the selected month. The first recorded month begins partway through that month.

The coral line and shaded areas identify below-high periods lasting 30 days or more, measured from the earlier high to recovery or the end of the available record. Shorter declines still exist in the data. Recovery is not assured.

The AlgoIndex automated algorithmic trading system is designed for results averaged over months - not weeks, days, hours, minutes or seconds.

How do I align my expectations and optimize my trading?

Here are some pointers from leading experts:

Micro Patience:
Don't reset any settings, algorithm strategy parameters or overrides if you are suddenly impatient, overconfident or have a feeling of market panic.
Loss Acceptance:
Treat losses as a part of a longer process, not an unrecoverable failure. Remember, wins and losses are both a part of the longer process.
Mental Neutrality:
Feel neutral regarding wins and losses, so that trades don't trigger emotional or knee-jerk reactions.
Get Set:
Before trading (manual or automated) take a deep breath and get your mind set for non-reactive trading.

Performance: an interactive monthly look over time

ES/SPY published backtest
Jan 2023 to Oct 202646 months, first and last may be partial

Choose a month. Explore a different start.

Each month shows its modeled result. The small marks show the weeks within it. Near-flat means -0.5R to +0.5R. The values remain exact.

The full ES/SPY record remains readable below. Enable JavaScript to compare starting months and switch strategies.

2023
Jan+2.5R
Feb+2.0R
Mar+4.5R
Apr+1.5R
May+3.0R
Jun0.0R
Jul-1.5R
Aug+3.0R
Sep-0.5R
Oct+3.5R
Nov-2.5R
Dec+0.5R
2024
Jan-2.0R
Feb-2.5R
Mar+1.5R
Apr+3.0R
May0.0R
Jun+3.0R
Jul+3.0R
Aug+5.5R
Sep+3.0R
Oct0.0R
Nov+3.5R
Dec-1.0R
2025
Jan+2.0R
Feb-1.0R
Mar+2.0R
Apr+4.0R
May+3.0R
Jun+2.0R
Jul+4.0R
Aug+3.0R
Sep-2.5R
Oct+1.0R
Nov0.0R
Dec+2.0R
2026
Jan-5.5R
Feb+4.0R
Mar+7.5R
Apr+1.5R
May+1.0R
Jun+7.5R
Jul0.0R
Aug-2.0R
Sep-2.0R
Oct-3.0R

◌ Partial month. The last recorded day is Oct 15, 2026.

Coral underline: part of a below-high period lasting 30 days or more.

Your historical starting point

Every start has
its own sequence.

A strong start is not a rate to expect. A losing start does not ensure a later recovery.

Select any month above to see the historical model’s three review points and its lowest recorded result from that start.

Choose with a clear understanding.

Read the record. Understand the costs. Ask what you need to know.